Friday night is when Newcastle's Northumberland Plate fixture really kicks into gear with a fillies Listed event & the 5f Dash of The Gosforth Park Cup which has been won by some decent speedsters over the years Mistertopogigo in 1994 who made all down the stands side to Nuclear Debate '98 & Rudi's Pet '99.
The meeting gets underway to a fairly inauspicious start with a 5 runner Classified event over 7f followed by an all age 7f maiden in which the horse to take many punters eyes will be Cloud Line (Danehill Dancer X Superstar Leo) a full sister to Listed winner & Jersey Stakes 2nd Sentaril, she will need to be only have a fraction of her sister's talent to take this mediocre affair on debut.
One of the feature events of the night is the 3rd race of the card, The Listed Hoppings Stakes over 1m2f for fillies & mares. In recent years the race has been dominated by the older generation with only 1 3yo winning in the last 10 years with 4yo's the dominant age group. Auction heads the group, she has been struggling for awhile now ever since she completed an early season hat-trick in minor company before finishing a close 2nd in last year's Sandringham. She has yet to prove that she stays this far & has work to do here with blinkers on for the first time. Hollowina was highly tried last season cutting little ice in a plethora of Oaks trials before dropping back to handicap company. She ran no sort of race on her return & the first time tongue tie is reached for, firmer ground here must be a disadvantage. Magic Of Reality steps back up to a distance she has not tried since her first 2 runs last season, has shown a useful level of ability at around 8f on her last few starts & looks like the extra distance will suit on those runs, could easily play a part in this. Regal Hawk was unbeaten in her first 4 starts at a low level early last season before coming unstuck upped to Listed company on her last 2 starts, she makes her seasonal debut in this & should be fit enough but likely to be outclassed.
Lily Rules was always likely to be outclassed in The Oaks after an excellent run on soft ground in The Musidora, all ground types seem to come equal to her & she must be respected down markedly in grade. Pelerin is a big improver who was unlucky to not win last time at Newbury in a 3yo fillies Listed event, the trip brought about more improvement in her & she will most likely be favourite in this after that.
Regardez was a staying on 3rd in The Musidora after becoming outpaced in the straight, she too went to The Oaks where she was well beaten, the drop back to 1m2f is not certain to suit as to me she has looked pace less so far.
The Big race of the night is the 5f Gosforth Park Cup where historically over the years a low draw against the far side rails has provided a big advantage.
Top weights & horses carrying above 9-5 have done well over the years especially in the last 10 years with 6 winners having carried more than 9-5 to victory.
A pacey horse is also an advantage with front runners also having a decent record.
4 x 4yo's have won in the last 10 years.
3 x 5yo's have won in the last 10 years.
2 x 6yo's have won in the last 10 years.
1 x 7yo has won in the last 10 years.
Lover Man heads the weights having shown very little on 2 starts in Britain, he is rated so highly on the back of 2 wins in France at Listed level & in a decent handicap at Chantilly in May last year, front runner from number 1 stall.
Bondesire has been in good form so far this season as a result she keeps edging up the weights & should be respected, can be ridden from the pace or in behind.
Magical Macey won from a low draw on softer ground last year under an aggressive ride, he is off exactly the same mark this year but ground would appear to be against him.
Burning Thread bounced back to form out of nowhere on Saturday as he does so often but he usually goes missing again afterwards & cannot be backed with confidence.
Love Island has been behind Bondesire the last 3 times & will be doing well if she can beat her on Friday.
Doc Hay has been in the doldrums for awhile now but there was a little something last time out at Musselburgh on ground that did not suit, he is now extremely well handicapped & must have a real chance in a less than stellar renewal if returning to anywhere near his best from the number 2 draw.
Confessional has twice been beaten in this race back in 2013 & 2010, he can handle faster ground although softer is his preferred surface, draw not ideal & is now racing off a mark 1lb below his last win.
Robot Boy is an improving young sprinter who won nicely last time out at Musselburgh in soft ground, he will need to show that firmer ground suits from a problematique draw. Barnet Fair ran an excellent race in The Dash at Epsom from a bad draw, he has since switched to Dandy Nicholls stable who has done well in this race over the years with 2 winners in the last 10 years. Typically he seems to have got another bad draw but must be backed as he is ready to strike.
Another Wise Kid gained a deserved win last time after a string of good recent efforts, ground should be no issue for him.
Singeur has never won the races his talent deserves, is well handicapped on his best form & keeps running well to suggest he could go close but is always likely to find a couple to good. Asian Trader is steadily coming up through the ranks, he took advantage of a poor race & his young jockey's 7lb claim to win at Nottingham last time, needs more in this grade. Red Baron continues to rise in the weights & is an uncomplicated horse who goes on any ground. Should run his race & is yet another pace angle from the low draw.
Algar Lad won in the style of a horse clearly ahead of his mark last time out in a much easier race than this, up in the weights in a better race but must be respected from his talented young trainer from a high draw.
Fitz Flyer was a good 4th in this race last season from a 1lb higher mark, he has shown nothing so far this season but ground is very much in favour & it would not surprise if he could bounce back.
Low is the favoured draw & that is where all the pace is, Doc Hay 16/1 E/W Paddy Power (Disappointing again) has a lot going for him from a good draw & can go well in this at a decent price.
I will have to back Barnet Fair 14/1 E/W BETVICTOR (Close up 6th placed finish, will win soon) as well as he is in my tracker, he is running as though a win is just around the corner but the draw has done him no favours.
8 runners at the current time of writing go to post for a mile handicap, Sound Advice ran a barnstorming race in The Carlisle Bell on Wednesday & would be a player if backing despite carrying 10st. Escape To Glory also ran in The Bell but once again ran as if in the handicappers grip. Anderiego has not won since winning 2 back in 2012, he has come down along way in the weights since then & ran much better in a similar race last time out. Vito Volterra showed nothing on a belated return to action after 2 years off last month, would need to see that the spark still remains before getting involved.
Thorntoun Lady is still a maiden after 7 starts & needs more to get involved here.
Big Storm Coming's form is all on the AW mainly the fibresand at Southwell, has yet to show turf suits. Rogue Wave looks to have unsuited by the softer going on her last 2 starts after winning his maiden comfortably on seasonal debut, mark has been reduced a couple of lbs & must be respected. Sbraase has been running ok in behind on his last 2 starts, he was slightly hampered on Saturday so can be marked up for that & still remains with some potential to improve.
The last 2 races on the card look extremely tough so I would rather leave them alone ahead of a packed Saturday full of action up & down the country.
The meeting gets underway to a fairly inauspicious start with a 5 runner Classified event over 7f followed by an all age 7f maiden in which the horse to take many punters eyes will be Cloud Line (Danehill Dancer X Superstar Leo) a full sister to Listed winner & Jersey Stakes 2nd Sentaril, she will need to be only have a fraction of her sister's talent to take this mediocre affair on debut.
One of the feature events of the night is the 3rd race of the card, The Listed Hoppings Stakes over 1m2f for fillies & mares. In recent years the race has been dominated by the older generation with only 1 3yo winning in the last 10 years with 4yo's the dominant age group. Auction heads the group, she has been struggling for awhile now ever since she completed an early season hat-trick in minor company before finishing a close 2nd in last year's Sandringham. She has yet to prove that she stays this far & has work to do here with blinkers on for the first time. Hollowina was highly tried last season cutting little ice in a plethora of Oaks trials before dropping back to handicap company. She ran no sort of race on her return & the first time tongue tie is reached for, firmer ground here must be a disadvantage. Magic Of Reality steps back up to a distance she has not tried since her first 2 runs last season, has shown a useful level of ability at around 8f on her last few starts & looks like the extra distance will suit on those runs, could easily play a part in this. Regal Hawk was unbeaten in her first 4 starts at a low level early last season before coming unstuck upped to Listed company on her last 2 starts, she makes her seasonal debut in this & should be fit enough but likely to be outclassed.
Lily Rules was always likely to be outclassed in The Oaks after an excellent run on soft ground in The Musidora, all ground types seem to come equal to her & she must be respected down markedly in grade. Pelerin is a big improver who was unlucky to not win last time at Newbury in a 3yo fillies Listed event, the trip brought about more improvement in her & she will most likely be favourite in this after that.
Regardez was a staying on 3rd in The Musidora after becoming outpaced in the straight, she too went to The Oaks where she was well beaten, the drop back to 1m2f is not certain to suit as to me she has looked pace less so far.
The Big race of the night is the 5f Gosforth Park Cup where historically over the years a low draw against the far side rails has provided a big advantage.
Top weights & horses carrying above 9-5 have done well over the years especially in the last 10 years with 6 winners having carried more than 9-5 to victory.
A pacey horse is also an advantage with front runners also having a decent record.
4 x 4yo's have won in the last 10 years.
3 x 5yo's have won in the last 10 years.
2 x 6yo's have won in the last 10 years.
1 x 7yo has won in the last 10 years.
Lover Man heads the weights having shown very little on 2 starts in Britain, he is rated so highly on the back of 2 wins in France at Listed level & in a decent handicap at Chantilly in May last year, front runner from number 1 stall.
Bondesire has been in good form so far this season as a result she keeps edging up the weights & should be respected, can be ridden from the pace or in behind.
Magical Macey won from a low draw on softer ground last year under an aggressive ride, he is off exactly the same mark this year but ground would appear to be against him.
Burning Thread bounced back to form out of nowhere on Saturday as he does so often but he usually goes missing again afterwards & cannot be backed with confidence.
Love Island has been behind Bondesire the last 3 times & will be doing well if she can beat her on Friday.
Doc Hay has been in the doldrums for awhile now but there was a little something last time out at Musselburgh on ground that did not suit, he is now extremely well handicapped & must have a real chance in a less than stellar renewal if returning to anywhere near his best from the number 2 draw.
Confessional has twice been beaten in this race back in 2013 & 2010, he can handle faster ground although softer is his preferred surface, draw not ideal & is now racing off a mark 1lb below his last win.
Robot Boy is an improving young sprinter who won nicely last time out at Musselburgh in soft ground, he will need to show that firmer ground suits from a problematique draw. Barnet Fair ran an excellent race in The Dash at Epsom from a bad draw, he has since switched to Dandy Nicholls stable who has done well in this race over the years with 2 winners in the last 10 years. Typically he seems to have got another bad draw but must be backed as he is ready to strike.
Another Wise Kid gained a deserved win last time after a string of good recent efforts, ground should be no issue for him.
Singeur has never won the races his talent deserves, is well handicapped on his best form & keeps running well to suggest he could go close but is always likely to find a couple to good. Asian Trader is steadily coming up through the ranks, he took advantage of a poor race & his young jockey's 7lb claim to win at Nottingham last time, needs more in this grade. Red Baron continues to rise in the weights & is an uncomplicated horse who goes on any ground. Should run his race & is yet another pace angle from the low draw.
Algar Lad won in the style of a horse clearly ahead of his mark last time out in a much easier race than this, up in the weights in a better race but must be respected from his talented young trainer from a high draw.
Fitz Flyer was a good 4th in this race last season from a 1lb higher mark, he has shown nothing so far this season but ground is very much in favour & it would not surprise if he could bounce back.
Low is the favoured draw & that is where all the pace is, Doc Hay 16/1 E/W Paddy Power (Disappointing again) has a lot going for him from a good draw & can go well in this at a decent price.
I will have to back Barnet Fair 14/1 E/W BETVICTOR (Close up 6th placed finish, will win soon) as well as he is in my tracker, he is running as though a win is just around the corner but the draw has done him no favours.
8 runners at the current time of writing go to post for a mile handicap, Sound Advice ran a barnstorming race in The Carlisle Bell on Wednesday & would be a player if backing despite carrying 10st. Escape To Glory also ran in The Bell but once again ran as if in the handicappers grip. Anderiego has not won since winning 2 back in 2012, he has come down along way in the weights since then & ran much better in a similar race last time out. Vito Volterra showed nothing on a belated return to action after 2 years off last month, would need to see that the spark still remains before getting involved.
Thorntoun Lady is still a maiden after 7 starts & needs more to get involved here.
Big Storm Coming's form is all on the AW mainly the fibresand at Southwell, has yet to show turf suits. Rogue Wave looks to have unsuited by the softer going on her last 2 starts after winning his maiden comfortably on seasonal debut, mark has been reduced a couple of lbs & must be respected. Sbraase has been running ok in behind on his last 2 starts, he was slightly hampered on Saturday so can be marked up for that & still remains with some potential to improve.
The last 2 races on the card look extremely tough so I would rather leave them alone ahead of a packed Saturday full of action up & down the country.
@fttfracing
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